Farmers Urged to Prepare as La Niña Promises Wetter Season for South Africa

The South African Weather Service (SAWS) has forecast a wetter growing season for much of the country, offering renewed optimism for farmers ahead of the 2025/26 planting period. The announcement was made on 30 September at a media briefing hosted in collaboration with the National Press Club at the Court Classique Hotel in Pretoria.

SAWS scientist Cobus Olivier confirmed that most regions are expected to receive above-normal rainfall from late spring through midsummer, particularly in Gauteng, KwaZulu-Natal, the Free State, and North West. The shift is linked to the emergence of a weak La Niña pattern, which often brings increased rainfall to Southern Africa.

“For South Africa, this translates into favourable summer rainfall in the north-eastern parts of the country. It is also expected to increase the likelihood of flooding,” said Olivier. He explained that the developing La Niña could provide significant relief for farmers who have struggled with erratic rainfall in recent years, improving grazing, soil moisture, and water availability.

The wetter outlook is expected to boost both crop and livestock production. For grain producers, improved soil moisture could support stronger germination and growth, while livestock farmers may benefit from replenished pastures and full water troughs. However, SAWS has urged farmers to take precautions against the potential for flooding, particularly in low-lying areas. Olivier advised producers to strengthen drainage systems, monitor field conditions closely, and move livestock to higher ground when heavy rain is forecast.

Not all regions will share in the rainfall benefits. Parts of Mpumalanga and Limpopo are expected to experience below-normal rainfall, raising concerns about possible dry spells and heat stress. Olivier encouraged farmers in these provinces to focus on water conservation, soil protection, and efficient irrigation. He also recommended harvesting and storing rainwater to sustain crops and livestock through drier periods.

The forecast also suggests that temperatures will remain above-normal across most parts of the country. Hotter days and warmer nights will increase evaporation and irrigation demand. Only the south-western coastal belt is expected to experience slightly cooler maximum temperatures. Olivier warned that high temperatures, combined with the extra moisture, could create conditions for heat stress among farmworkers and increase the risk of diseases and pests.

Agricultural Business Chamber (Agbiz) chief economist Wandile Sihlobo said the outlook had sparked optimism in the farming community. “The early rains will improve soil moisture levels, and we are already seeing strong activity ahead of the planting season. Tractor sales remain solid, and confidence levels among farmers are improving,” he said.

Sihlobo noted that while weather conditions appear promising, disease management remains a concern, particularly in the livestock sector. “Producers need to stay alert to outbreaks even as they prepare for a potentially productive season,” he added.

SAWS confirmed that it will continue to monitor weather developments and issue updates as conditions evolve. Farmers are encouraged to stay informed through official advisories and adjust their planting and grazing plans accordingly.

With La Niña bringing the promise of good rains, South African farmers have reason for cautious optimism. Proper planning, conservation, and adaptation will help turn this wetter season into one of growth and recovery for the country’s agricultural sector.